My start date was 7/27, on 7/27 I was certain Niantic would throw me a shiny (I work near an ocean). I caught 1 magikarp that day and no shiny. On Saturday, 7/29, I caught my first shiny turning on my phone once while I was out to dinner with some friends at a restaurant near an ocean! BAd IVS but still, I've caught 661 magikarp, 100 of them being big magikarp, and my 661st magikarp is a shiny two days away from my 1 year POGO anniversary. I'm thinking that's too much of a coincidence given the odds of catching a shiny. Nevertheless, here's my shiny!!!!